Prediction Of River Flows In Ungauged Basin Using Semi-Distributed Hydrologic Model

Highlights

  • Developed probability distribution functions (PDFs) for sensitive model parameters based on gauged basins.

  • Related these PDFs to the physical characteristics of ungauged basins to simulate streamflows.

  • Calibration (2000-2004): R² values ranged from 0.70 to 0.86; Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) from 0.62 to 0.79.

  • Validation (2005-2008): R² ranged from 0.58 to 0.73; NSE from 0.34 to 0.64.

  • Regionalization of model parameters significantly enhances the accuracy of streamflow predictions in ungauged basins.

  • The methodology was tested on two watersheds, demonstrating it as a viable approach for hydrologic modeling in data-limited basins.

Temporal Hydrologic Variations in San Jacinto River Basin with Major Land Use and Land Cover Changes

Highlights

  • Model Setup: The Arc-SWAT 2012 model was used to analyze the San Jacinto River Basin, focusing on Cypress, Texas, using 2006 LULC data.

  • LULC Changes: Significant increases in residential and industrial areas and decreases in forested areas were observed between 2006 and 2011.

  • Hydrologic Impacts: Urbanization and deforestation led to increased surface runoff and decreased infiltration, resulting in an overall increase in streamflow.

  • Rainfall and Temperature: Lower rainfall and higher temperatures during the August 2011-2015 period contributed to decreased streamflow.

  • Conclusion: The study highlights the significant impact of urbanization and deforestation on the hydrologic behavior of the region, emphasizing the need for sustainable land use practices and water resource management.